Estimating the Effects of Social Security Reform: an Euler-equation Approach

نویسنده

  • Paul Evans
چکیده

This paper shows theoretically and empirically that an aggregate Euler equation relates the real interest rate to the growth rate of per capita consumption and the ratio of private and social security wealth plus asset income to consumption. Using the estimated Euler equation, the paper then calculates the steady-state effects of social security reform. Reforms that reduce the ratio of social security wealth to consumption are found to shift the balanced growth paths for the capital stock, output, and consumption upward appreciably. JEL Codes: E21, E62, H31

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تاریخ انتشار 1998